Era una noticia que esperaba mucha gente y es que Bitcoin ha vuelto a romper la barrera de los 60.000$ algo que no ocurría desde Abril, y roza casi su máximo histórico, tocando los 62k$, muy cerca de esos 64k$ que tuviera como máximo.
Y es que las recientes buenas noticias han hecho que los inversores vean como una buena fuente de protección ante la inflación a esta criptomoneda.
Al principio nos sorprendía (en verdad no) la noticia de que China prohibiría de nuevo el Bitcoin, pero desde el otro lado del charco llegaron las buenas noticias, y es que por ejemplo JPMorgan apunta a que las instituciones compran Bitcoin en vez de Oro debido a que desde Estados Unidos se dijo que no había intención alguna de prohibir las criptomonedas en el páis.
Otra de las posibles causas son los rumores de que la SEC aprobaría el primer EFT de Bitcoin la próxima semana.
Que es un EFT?
Un ETF (o fondo cotizado en bolsa) es un instrumento financiero regulado cuyo precio rastrea el valor de los activos subyacentes. Por ejemplo, el precio de un ETF de oro rastrearía el valor de las reservas de oro que están representadas dentro del ETF. De manera similar, el precio de un ETF de petróleo, o un ETF de índice bursátil o un ETF criptográfico rastrearía el valor del petróleo, el índice bursátil o los activos criptográficos, respectivamente. Al igual que las acciones , un ETF puede y se negocia en bolsas reguladas de todo el mundo. Esto permite a los inversores negociar ETF a través de sus cuentas de corretaje.
Ahora entra la pregunta de «Hasta dónde llegaremos en este rally»? y es que desde hace tiempo hay bastantes personas con conocimientos en la materia que hablan de un posible 100k$ al finalizar el año, aunque luego hay otros mucho más optimistas que hablan de 390k$ como podemos leer en beincrypto.com
Esta idea sale de la cuenta del usuario TechDev_52 en twitter (enlace a su perfil) donde hace diferentes análisis y compara la situación vivida en el 2013 con la situación actual.
Realmente me parece bastante descabellado. No se pueden comprar las situaciones. Yo obviamente os enseño la información que se habla en distintos medios y «entendidos» del tema, pero no comparto EN ABSOLUTO esta visión.
Y es que como dije, no se puede comparar la situación anterior con esta, no se puede comparar la necesidad de capital para subir de 1000$ a 5000$ que ahora de 60k a 390k.
Estamos hablando de la necesidad de hacer un x6.5, esto no parece descabellado en otras criptomonedas, pero es que el market cap del Bitcoin es inmenso. Estaríamos hablando de que habría que pasar de una capitalización de mercado de 1,283,083,244,781$ a más de 8 trillones (americanos) de dólares.
No creo que estemos capacitados para ello ni se den las condiciones idóneas. Para llegar a esa situación, deberíamos estar en un clima donde el BTC llega a todo el público en general, donde puedes realizar cualquier operación con el y donde las instituciones tienen una seguridad jurídica para poder invertir grandes cantidades sin miedo a sanción, pérdidas, etc.
Por lo tanto, dentro de los análisis personalmente el de los 100k$ a finales de año me parece quizás el más razonable, todos los demás me parecen demasiado optimistas.
Vosotros, que pensáis?
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